Hurricane Humberto is the third named hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season, following a week after the Category 5 Hurricane Dorian devastated the Bahamas. Humberto began on September 8 as a disturbance which was monitored for several days by the National Hurricane Center. It remained disorganised until it rapidly organised on September 12, where it became a potential tropical cyclone and a day later developed into a tropical depression. This week, Humberto intensified into a hurricane, but what is the latest on the potentially deadly storm?
The National Hurricane Center has said hurricane conditions are expected in Bermuda tonight and Thursday morning with tropical-storm-force winds expected to begin later today.
Storm surge and dangerous breaking waves could cause coastal flooding tonight and on Thursday along the southern coast of Bermuda.
Lateg swells will continue to affect the northwestern Bahamas and southeastern coast of the United States from east central Florida to North Carolina over the next couple of days, creating life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
According to the latest NOAA advisory issued at 5am AST (10am BST), Humberto’s eye was crossing close to a NOAA buoy.
Hurricane Humberto tracker map: Latest satellite maps of Hurricane Humberto
The NHC said weather should begin to deteriorate in Bermuda later today as the storm crosses the region.
The latest update recorded Humberto’s location as near latitude 31.7 north, longitude 69.6 west.
The storm had maximum sustained winds of 115mph, making it a Category 3 hurricane according to the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
Humberto was moving east northeastwards at 16mph, with a minimum central pressure of 951mb (28.09 inches).
Hurricane Humberto tracker map: Latest NCEP GFS model weather chart
Hurricane Humberto tracker map: Europe model map of Hurricane Humberto’s forecasted progress for Thursday
The advisory reads: “Humberto has increased its forward speed and is moving toward the east-northeast near 16mph (26kmh).
“This general motion with an additional increase in forward speed is expected through early Thursday, followed by a northeastward to north-northeastward motion through Friday.
“On the forecast track, the core of Humberto is expected to pass just to the northwest and north of Bermuda later tonight.
“Maximum sustained winds are near 115mph (185kmh) with higher gusts.
Hurricane Humberto tracker map: Spaghetti model map for Hurricane Humberto
“Humberto is a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
“Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next day or so, but Humberto should remain a powerful hurricane through early Thursday.
“A steady weakening trend should begin later on Thursday.
“Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95km) from the centre and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280km).
“A NOAA buoy reported a wind gust to 89mph (144kmh) and a minimum pressure of 961mb (28.38 inches) as the eye of Humberto was approaching.”
Hurricane Humberto tracker map: Humberto spaghetti model map showing the storm’s track and intensity
Hurricane Humberto tracker map: Early and late cycle spaghetti models for Hurricane Humberto
The worst effects of the storm will be felt across Bermuda, as well as swells impacting the northwestern Bahamas and the US southeastern coast.
Hurricane-force winds are expected to reach Bermuda by Wednesday night and continue into early Thursday morning.
Winds are expected to first reach tropical-storm strength by Wednesday afternoon, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
Rainfall of up to six inches is expected to hit Bermuda, as huge swells will increase along the coast of Bermuda by Wednesday.
Hurricane Humberto tracker map: Humberto cloud/rain GFS map
Hurricane Humberto tracker map: Hurricane Humberto spaghetti model
These dangerous breaking waves, especially along south-facing beaches, will be possible Wednesday night into Thursday and could cause coastal flooding.
The swells will continue to affect the northwestern Bahamas and the southeastern coast of the United States from east-central Florida to North Carolina during the next couple of days and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Storm surge and breaking waves is forecast to raise water levels by one to three feet above normal tide levels along the immediate southern coast of Bermuda.
According to spaghetti model data, the highest predicted wind speed expected from Humberto over the coming days is 135mph (117kts), which would equate to a Category 4 hurricane.